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Finding signal in the inflation noise: oil shocks, price setting, and the path back to 2% inflation

A speech by Chief Economist Paul Conway.

Past Event
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 to Tuesday, 14 July 2026
9:30 am - 11:30 am
BusinessNZ NTT, 13/157 Lambton Quay, Wellington

About the speech

In this speech, Mr Conway will explore how the recent Middle East conflict and resulting oil shock are likely to influence inflation over the coming years, even if the immediate conflict has been resolved. He will also share findings from our recent research on how rising costs shape business and household inflation expectations, and how these expectations influence price-setting behaviour across the economy.

This speech will be part of an economic update following the 8 July Monetary Policy Review. There will be no new policy announcements.

Register to attend

Media are invited to attend and hear the speech live. This is an in-person event only, and the event will not be live-streamed.

Email [email protected] by 3pm Friday 10 July to confirm your attendance.

We will publish the transcript of the speech on our website at 10am on 14 July 2026.

About the event

Media contact

Hamish Glenn 
Engagement Advisor
[email protected]