Supporting information:
J5 Marketscope Survey - Expectations of inflation
This table is based upon the Marketscope survey, which is conducted in the middle of the reference month by ACNielsen as part of their omnibus survey of the general public.
1. Current inflation perceptions:
Based on your own opinions and what you've seen and heard, what do you think the inflation figure is now?
2. Expected change:
In 12 months time, do you expect the inflation figure to be higher, lower or
the same?
(NB. Net per cent expecting higher inflation refers to the
percentage expecting higher inflation, minus the percentage expecting lower
inflation.)
3. Expected inflation:
What do you think the actual figure will be in 12 months time?
**********************************************************
J5 - MARKETSCOPE SURVEY OF EXPECTATIONS OF INFLATION
|
|
|
Median Current Inflation |
Mean Current Inflation |
Net Percent Expecting Higher Inflation |
Median Expected Inflation |
Mean Expected Inflation |
|
1995 |
Feb |
2.8 |
3.6 |
55.0 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
|
|
May |
3.0 |
3.6 |
42.0 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
|
|
Aug |
n/a |
3.6 |
33.0 |
n/a |
4.1 |
|
|
Nov |
n/a |
3.7 |
35.0 |
n/a |
4.2 |
|
1996 |
Feb |
2.5 |
3.3 |
39.0 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
|
|
May |
2.5 |
2.9 |
46.0 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
|
|
Aug |
2.5 |
3.3 |
48.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
|
|
Nov |
2.5 |
3.1 |
43.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
|
1997 |
Feb |
2.6 |
3.1 |
48.0 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
|
|
May |
2.5 |
3.2 |
43.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
|
|
Aug |
2.5 |
3.0 |
52.0 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
|
|
Nov |
3.0 |
3.3 |
54.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
|
1998 |
Feb |
2.5 |
3.3 |
50.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
|
|
May |
2.5 |
3.3 |
49.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
|
|
Aug |
2.5 |
3.4 |
38.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
|
|
Nov |
2.0 |
2.9 |
37.0 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
|
1999 |
Feb |
2.0 |
2.7 |
41.0 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
|
|
May |
2.0 |
2.3 |
50.0 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
|
|
Aug |
2.0 |
2.7 |
49.0 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
|
|
Nov |
2.5 |
3.1 |
53.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
|
2000 |
Feb |
2.5 |
2.9 |
56.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
|
|
May |
2.5 |
3.1 |
53.0 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
|
|
Aug |
3.0 |
3.3 |
60.0 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
|
|
Nov |
3.0 |
3.7 |
41.0 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
|
2001 |
Feb |
3.2 |
3.9 |
38.0 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
|
|
May |
3.0 |
3.2 |
38.0 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
|
|
Aug |
3.0 |
3.4 |
43.0 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
|
|
Nov |
3.0 |
3.6 |
43.0 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
|
2002 |
Feb |
3.0 |
3.3 |
44.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
|
|
May |
3.0 |
3.2 |
47.0 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
|
|
Aug |
3.0 |
3.3 |
43.0 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
|
|
Nov |
3.0 |
3.5 |
39.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
|
2003 |
Feb |
3.0 |
3.2 |
50.0 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
|
|
May |
3.0 |
3.3 |
40.0 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
|
|
Aug |
2.5 |
2.9 |
41.0 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
|
|
Nov |
2.5 |
3.0 |
45.0 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
|
2004 |
Feb |
3.0 |
3.3 |
50.0 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
|
|
May |
2.8 |
3.2 |
54.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
|
|
Aug |
3.0 |
3.6 |
55.0 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
|
|
Nov |
3.0 |
3.7 |
42.0 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
|
2005 |
Feb |
3.0 |
3.4 |
42.0 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
|
|
May |
3.0 |
4.1 |
57.0 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
|
|
Aug |
3.0 |
3.5 |
52.0 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
|
|
Nov |
3.5 |
4.0 |
56.0 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
|
2006 |
Feb |
3.2 |
3.9 |
47.0 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
|
|
May |
3.2 |
4.0 |
62.0 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
|
|
Aug |
4.0 |
4.3 |
58.0 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
|
|
Nov |
3.4 |
3.9 |
44.0 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
|
2007 |
Feb |
3.0 |
3.8 |
51.0 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
|
|
May |
3.0 |
4.1 |
50.0 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
|
|
Aug |
3.5 |
4.2 |
53.0 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
|
|
Nov |
3.0 |
3.8 |
44.0 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
|
2008 |
Feb |
3.5 |
3.8 |
44.0 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
|
|
May |
3.6 |
4.6 |
45.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
|
|
Aug |
4.0 |
4.6 |
28.0 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
