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Additional research by staff and visitors

This section provides research conducted by staff and visitors not published as part of the discussion papers or bulletin articles series.

Swine flu: what are the impacts on the New Zealand economy — a macro-modelling Approach

14 July 2009

This research note by Martin Fukac and Kirdan Lees, takes a macroeconomic approach to estimating the impact of swine flu on the New Zealand economy. The paper concludes the impacts of swine flu are likely to be small, with declines in output of at most 0.62 percent in the first year following the outbreak. Read the research paper on Swine Flu (PDF 207KB).

Proceedings from a macroeconomic policy forum

The RBNZ and The Treasury held a conference in June 2006 to examine the broad policy issue, with contributions from international and domestic policy experts. The proceedings of this conference have been made into a book. You may download the complete volume (PDF 2.5MB) here. Individual contributions are below.

Testing stabilisation policy limits in a small open economy: Editors' summary of a macroeconomic policy forum (PDF 89KB)
Authors: Bob Buckle, The Treasury, Aaron Drew, Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Macroeconomic policy challenges: monetary policy (PDF 299KB)
Author: Stephen Grenville, Lowy Institute
Discussion by Christopher Allsopp, University of Oxford

Stabilisation policy in New Zealand: Counting your blessings, one by one (PDF521KB)
Author: Willem Buiter, London School of Economics
Discussion by Pierre Siklos, Wilfred Laurier University

New Zealand's monetary and exchange-rate policy in international comparison (PDF 1.9MB)
Author: Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, Central Bank of Chile
Discussion by John Edwards, HSBC

External imbalances in New Zealand (PDF 422KB)
Author: Sebastian Edwards, University of California, Los Angeles
Discussion by William Cline, Institute for International Economics

Comments on the macroeconomic policy forum (PDF80KB)
Val Koromzay, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Stephen Dunaway, International Monetary Fund
John McDermott, Victoria University of Wellington

Occasional research papers

These papers present the research of staff economists and visiting academics that were not released as discussion papers.

The forecasting and policy system: an introduction (PDF 977KB)
Authors: Richard Black, Vincenzo Cassino, Aaron Drew, Eric Hansen, Ben Hunt, David Rose and Alasdair Scott
Source: RB Bulletin, Vol. 60 No. 3, & Research Paper No. 43, August 1997

The forecasting and policy system: the core model (PDF 679KB)
Authors: Richard Black, Vincenzo Cassino, Aaron Drew, Eric Hansen, Ben Hunt, David Rose and Alasdair Scott
Source: Research Paper No. 43, August 1997

The output gap: measurement, comparison and assessment (PDF 1.2MB)
Authors: Iris Claus, Paul Conway and Alasdair Scott
Source: Research Paper No. 44, 2000

Commissioned research

Household attitudes towards savings, investment and wealth (PDF 171KB)
This report was prepared for the Reserve Bank by consultants Janice Burns and Maire Dwyer. It is a small-scale exploratory study of households' attitudes to various forms of investment. The idea behind this work was to get a view, from a sociological perspective rather than an economic perspective, on why wealth in New Zealand is held in the way it is. In particular the report looks at why New Zealanders tend to hold such a large proportion of their wealth in residential property.

Background monetary policy papers for the 2002 PTA

These papers, dealing with specific elements of monetary policy, were published along with the 2002 Policy Targets Agreement (PTA).

Assessing alternative inflation targets: growth effects and other costs and benefits (PDF 129KB)
Authors: Anne-Marie Brook, Özer Karagedikli and Dean Scrimgeour

Is monetary policy in New Zealand similar to that in Australia and the United States? (PDF 47KB)
Author: Angela Huang

The implications of modified inflation targets for the behaviour of inflation (PDF 24KB)
Author: David Hargreaves

Is it feasible for monetary policy to pursue economic growth targets, or multiple inflation targets? (PDF 24KB)
Author: David Hargreaves

The appropriate time horizon for monetary policy (PDF 20KB)
Author: Christopher Plantier

Review of the literature on the comparison of price level targeting and inflation targeting (PDF 29KB)
Author: Florin Citu

Inflation targeting - Domestic inflation versus CPI inflation (PDF 25KB)
Author: Young Ha

A cross-country comparison of inflation target frameworks (PDF 21KB)
Author: Dean Scrimgeour

Selected quotations of central bankers' views on monetary policy's contribution to broader economic goals (PDF 36KB)
Author: Angela Huang

Supporting papers in the review of the monetary policy framework

In May 2000, the Government initiated an independent review of New Zealand's monetary policy framework. The following papers were used to support the Reserve Bank’s main submission made to the review.

Term of Reference 1

The evolution of Policy Targets Agreements
Also available as PDF (47KB)

The evolution of monetary policy implementation
Also available as PDF (50KB)

Inflation targeting in principle and practice
Also available as PDF (50KB)

Output volatility in New Zealand
Also available as PDF (124KB)

Business cycle developments and the role of monetary policy over the 1990s (PDF 308KB), also available in HTML
(Please note that the graphs in this document have been thumb nailed, so to see the graphs at full size, you need to click on the small image.)

Monetary policy in an uncertain world
Also available as PDF (32KB)

Term of Reference 2

Alternative monetary policy instruments
Also available as PDF (44KB)

Term of Reference 3

Data challenges in the monetary policy process
Also available as PDF (34KB)

Term of Reference 4

The monetary policy decision-making process
Also available as PDF (19KB)

The projection process and accuracy of the RBNZ projections
Also available as PDF (99KB)

Term of Reference 5

Fiscal and monetary coordination
Also available as PDF (28KB)

Prudential policy and monetary policy
Also available as PDF (17KB)

Term of Reference 6

Communication of monetary policy decisions
Also available as PDF (71KB)

Publication of projections
Also available as a PDF (30KB)

Forecasting performance of the Reserve Bank: background research

This collection of papers makes up the greater part of the background research to the December 2002 (Vol. 65(4)) Reserve Bank Bulletin article, "The Reserve Bank's Forecasting Performance".

Macroeconomic impacts of a foot and mouth outbreak

The macroeconomic impacts of a foot-and-mouth disease outbreak: an information paper for Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet

Prepared by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Treasury, at the request of the Department for the Prime Minister and Cabinet, as a part of the Government's planning for crises and other contingencies. The paper provides a scenario analysis of the likely macroeconomic impacts of a limited foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in New Zealand. The assessment of the possible economic impact is indicative only and based on a relatively simple simulation.
Also available as a PDF (37KB)
14 February 2003